Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.033331 0.038766 0.044744 0.051798 0.059886 0.068860 0.079564
2025-09-28 0.025014 0.032051 0.040501 0.051359 0.064907 0.081211 0.102279
2025-10-05 0.020873 0.029076 0.039695 0.054366 0.074016 0.099318 0.134245
2025-10-12 0.017530 0.026305 0.038446 0.056323 0.081789 0.116549 0.167321
2025-10-19 0.014073 0.022621 0.035197 0.054818 0.084378 0.126893 0.192207
2025-10-26 0.011713 0.020047 0.033006 0.054311 0.088053 0.138892 0.220552
2025-11-02 0.009647 0.017516 0.030407 0.052658 0.089568 0.147611 0.244723
2025-11-09 0.008084 0.015515 0.028294 0.051373 0.091325 0.156667 0.270136
2025-11-16 0.007019 0.014181 0.027064 0.051319 0.094976 0.168970 0.301865
2025-11-23 0.005960 0.012662 0.025258 0.049947 0.096088 0.177015 0.327115
2025-11-30 0.005521 0.012264 0.025435 0.052179 0.103829 0.197151 0.375133
2025-12-07 0.004896 0.011376 0.024535 0.052217 0.107456 0.210254 0.411792
2025-12-14 0.004198 0.010226 0.022974 0.050799 0.108241 0.218445 0.440721
2025-12-21 0.003681 0.009381 0.021915 0.050252 0.110665 0.229958 0.477081
2025-12-28 0.003502 0.009289 0.022452 0.053136 0.120406 0.256585 0.545254
2026-01-04 0.003263 0.009008 0.022528 0.055018 0.128250 0.280187 0.609647
2026-01-11 0.002832 0.008166 0.021189 0.053531 0.128632 0.288607 0.644002
2026-01-18 0.002518 0.007566 0.020330 0.053027 0.131107 0.301582 0.688964
2026-01-25 0.002186 0.006853 0.019080 0.051407 0.130822 0.308581 0.721814
2026-02-01 0.001916 0.006260 0.018039 0.050149 0.131211 0.317043 0.758554
2026-02-08 0.001733 0.005883 0.017505 0.050095 0.134467 0.332188 0.811433
2026-02-15 0.001520 0.005373 0.016532 0.048753 0.134378 0.339638 0.847503
2026-02-22 0.001459 0.005330 0.016853 0.050935 0.143445 0.369328 0.937603